shortages? thoughts?

[tortoise]

while there may be some attempts and conspiracies to destroy things i suspect it is a vast minority of events.

Fear and insecurity change how people think and act. If someone believes there is danger, their brain will hold onto
Info that confirms it and "forget" any contradictory information. Great survival tactic for cavemen, but causes all kinds of problems in developed nations.

An amount of caution is beneficial, such as motivating people to be self sufficient. But too much fear or insecurity makes the wheels fall off the cognitive bus. Fact checking is a good way to cope. Mindfulness and taking regular breaks from media too.

 

[Hinotori]

Wild birds - typically waterfowl. Backyard keepers were told to keep flocks covered to protect from wild bird poo falling from the sky

All the backyard infections here in Washington have been direct contact with wild waterfowl. People ignored the warnings to not let birds free range. Why we are still getting infections.

 

[Chic Rustler]

Fear and insecurity change how people think and act. If someone believes there is danger, their brain will hold onto
Info that confirms it and "forget" any contradictory information. Great survival tactic for cavemen, but causes all kinds of problems in developed nations.

An amount of caution is beneficial, such as motivating people to be self sufficient. But too much fear or insecurity makes the wheels fall off the cognitive bus. Fact checking is a good way to cope. Mindfulness and taking regular breaks from media too.

where would one fact check that wasnt biased?


in my real life, everyone who told me to fact check something lately was repeating rhetoric they heard from the news about the need for covid vaccines and masks.

i rarely wore a mask and never had a shot, ive had covid 3 times with heart disease and im still here. the fact checkers were saying otherwise.


my point is ive gotten to the point that i really dont believe much of anything unless is seems to be terrible news. lol


what i can say for sure is gas is $4, lunch meat for sandwiches is $7, bacon is $10, hamburger is $8, feed has doubled, my taxes have doubled, and now we are having serious power grid issues....not to mention our leaders are trying to take our rights away a little at a time and theres nothing stopping them.



i feel like stuff is about to come to a head. idk what kind of head but nonetheless we are going to dark places.

 

[tortoise]

where would one fact check that isn't biased?

Yeah, I wouldnt go for a media source in general. If you prefer them (they're easier to read!!), you can pick a media source that is politically neutral or compare news articles with opposing biases and glean whatever is in common between them.

You can look up political biases of news media. You can see that AP is the most fact-based and least biased news source available. NPR, PBS and BBC are right up there too. I like BBC for the international perspective on USA issues.

You can also look up industry reports which arent funded by special interests, or which pre-date the information being questioned. That's what I did to see if the fire data was unusual. I also check produce industry market reports to see what prices are high due to normal reasons and which are inflation.

If its a legal or scientific topic, I use google scholar to find primary sources. However, beware of medical studies because they may be influenced by big pharma and its not always apparent. When you hit a paywall, email the author to request a free copy of their article - they usually send it!

 

[tortoise]

Re: COVID and all medical topics (especially nutrition!!!), the truth is too nuanced for the media and changes continually. Only use a primary source for these topics. Not a government source unless you are looking for incidence/prevalence data.

 

[tortoise]

what i can say for sure is gas is $4, lunch meat for sandwiches is $7, bacon is $10, hamburger is $8, feed has doubled, my taxes have doubled, and now we are having serious power grid issues....not to mention our leaders are trying to take our rights away a little at a time and theres nothing stopping them.

You're not wrong, but you're doing a cognitive distortion called "kitchen sinking" as in the idiom everything but the kitchen sink. You're combining multiple unrelated things together in a way that increases anxiety.

Serious power grid issues are not new, especially for Texans. So the "and now" is the cognitive distortion.

Taxes (plural, as in all of my taxes) have not doubled, literally. Thats a cognitive distortion. Which taxes have increased by how much? Is a better way to discuss. Federal income tax rates are the same and since we live in different states, I dont know from your comment what changes you are facing or how significant they are.

We also need to compare apples to apples. I've always bought $7 lunch meat (when its on sale from $10-$12/pound). I have not seen $10 bacon or $8 hamburger. I've seen situations (in large sicial media groups) where someone complains about a high grocery price, and someone else says a store 15 miles away has a normal price for the same item. We have to remember our world views are geographically small and our online views very narrow because algorithms only show us what we agree with.

Social media algorithms are terrifying, frankly. Look at what happened to Brazil!! The deep political divides in the USA are due to social media algorithms. I deleted my accounts and use ad blockers. It is the only thing I can control. I wont be influenced by a computer algorithm.

 

[Hinotori]

Many of the cases turned up in local news. Just simple facts. I know more about the Hermiston one simply because I have friends and classmates that worked out there.

I am and always have been politically neutral. Been an Independent voter since 18. I actually read the voter pamplets and on candidates will Google their name under news to find any blatant abuses. My vote can go either way and to whom I think will do the best job. Sometimes even things I learned in say high school economics and civics back in the late 80s and early 90s help. Such as people being used as an example in economics of how Not to run a business, repeatedly, and again when we were tracking the stock market to show how it effected dividends. Lets just say I wasn't surprised by some things in the last decade.

Stay away from the extremist news sites. Even then, they sometimes do have fully factual articles. I read all of the local news sites on same incidents. News further afield I have a good news aggregate site that stays fairly neutral. User submitted links, then they are debated and voted on by paying members before they hit the main page with better articles from different news sites getting the greenlight sometimes. That helps weed out a lot of the biased crap.

I still laugh about General Norman Schwarzkopf using CNN against the enemy in Desert Storm. The CNN morons were giving out classified troop movements on air which was being watched by Iraq. And then they had the had the nerve to get upset that they were lied to.

 

[Hinotori]

You're not wrong, but you're doing a cognitive distortion called "kitchen sinking" as in the idiom everything but the kitchen sink. You're combining multiple unrelated things together in a way that increases anxiety.

Serious power grid issues are not new, especially for Texans. So the "and now" is the cognitive distortion.

Taxes (plural, as in all of my taxes) have not doubled, literally. Thats a cognitive distortion. Which taxes have increased by how much? Is a better way to discuss. Federal income tax rates are the same and since we live in different states, I dont know from your comment what changes you are facing or how significant they are.

We also need to compare apples to apples. I've always bought $7 lunch meat (when its on sale from $10-$12/pound). I have not seen $10 bacon or $8 hamburger. I've seen situations (in large sicial media groups) where someone complains about a high grocery price, and someone else says a store 15 miles away has a normal price for the same item. We have to remember our world views are geographically small and our online views very narrow because algorithms only show us what we agree with.

Social media algorithms are terrifying, frankly. Look at what happened to Brazil!! The deep political divides in the USA are due to social media algorithms. I deleted my accounts and use ad blockers. It is the only thing I can control. I wont be influenced by a computer algorithm.

Only big taxes that has gone up for us isn't actually a rate increase. On property tax they assessed our place at worth 100k more than last year. That's an issue caused by the current houses bubble. I saw the same thing back in Virginia Beach in the 2000s leading up to that crash.

Meat has gone up a little. Most things have at the grocery here. Not huge amounts when it's just been a price increase. It's the product downsizing that really increases the cost per ounce. Yes, I always check. Mom carried a calculator in her purse when I was a kid just to do that. Some things stick. Like figuring out mpg after every fill up, never dropping below 1/4 tank because we live away from the city, knowing that just because gas is $0.5 cheaper across town, you'll spend more than you save going there and back.

Labor costs more so there have been minor increases to cover that. The flats of berries we buy went up $2. That was all over the wage increases.

Good deals can be found. Guess what I'm smoking tomorrow.

 

[Chic Rustler]

You're not wrong, but you're doing a cognitive distortion called "kitchen sinking" as in the idiom everything but the kitchen sink. You're combining multiple unrelated things together in a way that increases anxiety.

Serious power grid issues are not new, especially for Texans. So the "and now" is the cognitive distortion.

Taxes (plural, as in all of my taxes) have not doubled, literally. Thats a cognitive distortion. Which taxes have increased by how much? Is a better way to discuss. Federal income tax rates are the same and since we live in different states, I dont know from your comment what changes you are facing or how significant they are.

We also need to compare apples to apples. I've always bought $7 lunch meat (when its on sale from $10-$12/pound). I have not seen $10 bacon or $8 hamburger. I've seen situations (in large sicial media groups) where someone complains about a high grocery price, and someone else says a store 15 miles away has a normal price for the same item. We have to remember our world views are geographically small and our online views very narrow because algorithms only show us what we agree with.

Social media algorithms are terrifying, frankly. Look at what happened to Brazil!! The deep political divides in the USA are due to social media algorithms. I deleted my accounts and use ad blockers. It is the only thing I can control. I wont be influenced by a computer algorithm.

my property taxes have doubled. car registration has doubled here as well. what im telling you in no fancy words is they are continually makin it harder and harder for a workin man to raise kids in this messed up place. everything but the kitchen sink can go right up ur keester.
we didnt have power grid failures before 2 years ago. ive lived here all my life, i never experienced that.

maybe we can say its because of this or that, but at the end of the day it all adds up to me and my kids getting the shaft.

working people in my county are getting ran out of town because they cant afford to live here and at the same time immigrants from California (thats right they aint native texan) are buying all the property at increased prices because they have a large amount of cash from selling in California, where they left because they couldnt afford to live.



i used to get mad about it, but now im just done. theres no arguing morallity or common sense to all these socialists and progressives because they have all been brain washed. they come at regular joes all the time with the same long list of fancy words and bull**** like you been doing.




but you just keep saying everything is ok and believing it while ur president sells the american people out daily. im gonna keep doing for myself and avoiding the communist propaganda like the plague.

 

[tortoise]

@Chic Rustler cognitive behavioral therapy is not political.